I’ve been preaching this for the past couple of years. Everything up until now has been entirely about gaining market share, and AI will never be cheaper than it is right now, and it’s not cheap.
Just look at the “earnings” for companies like openAI. They are 1000+% in the red. It’s impossible for them to change their sales model enough to make that profitable. As more data centers go up, the operating costs are also going to go up.
I’ve been telling people that now is the best time in the past decade or more to learn how to code. There will be positions available in the coming years when the only junior devs available are vibe coders.
AI will absolutely be cheaper than it is now in the future, because you’ll actually be able to run it locally - look at the recently announced Nvidia powered Surface Ultra as an example of what’s coming.
Companies are trying to get their whole AI pipeline more efficient and “smaller” to reduce costs, because their costs to build and run data centres are astronomical. Where it will likely go is a subscription service to access their models that you run locally. Passes most of the cost on to consumers, and is recurring revenue which they all dream of.
Care to elaborate on why we’d need more programmers? As of las year there was a “surplus” of them and they were purged from FAANGs and the rest followed suit. As of me, im about to get my degree in CS, but Im in my mid 30s and just got it for the lols, as j work in a difference field and the expectative of switching industries is not feasible in my country.
But i have a in-law getting her CS degree, and I don’t see their chances of employment any morr positive than last the last year
I think that currently, a lot of places are replacing junior devs with AI. As senior devs retire or quit because of AI, there won’t be skilled juniors to take those positions. It’s my belief that there will be a vacuum left that needs to be filled by people that can code, not just use AI to vibe code.
I could definitely be wrong, but it’s kind of cyclical like the dotcom bubble too. There was a surplus of devs, then a shortage. I think we’re approaching the latter. If/when the bubble pops, we’ll find out.
It’s expensive to get a degree, but I also think having at least basic coding understanding both fundamentally changes the way a person thinks for the better and to be good, you have to have a good breadth of knowledge on computers and a wide array of different processes across different fields, so you become a more well rounded person.
Anecdotally, I pivoted from sys admin for a decade to full stack in my mid thirties. I was fortunate to have a connection that got me in the door, and it’s been a lot of work starting over, but I’ve done it. You mentioned in your country that it’s not feasible, but maybe if you can find an in somewhere or if the landscape changes significantly enough that unavailable positions open up, you might be able to catch a break.
I’ve been preaching this for the past couple of years. Everything up until now has been entirely about gaining market share, and AI will never be cheaper than it is right now, and it’s not cheap.
Just look at the “earnings” for companies like openAI. They are 1000+% in the red. It’s impossible for them to change their sales model enough to make that profitable. As more data centers go up, the operating costs are also going to go up.
I’ve been telling people that now is the best time in the past decade or more to learn how to code. There will be positions available in the coming years when the only junior devs available are vibe coders.
AI will absolutely be cheaper than it is now in the future, because you’ll actually be able to run it locally - look at the recently announced Nvidia powered Surface Ultra as an example of what’s coming.
Companies are trying to get their whole AI pipeline more efficient and “smaller” to reduce costs, because their costs to build and run data centres are astronomical. Where it will likely go is a subscription service to access their models that you run locally. Passes most of the cost on to consumers, and is recurring revenue which they all dream of.
Care to elaborate on why we’d need more programmers? As of las year there was a “surplus” of them and they were purged from FAANGs and the rest followed suit. As of me, im about to get my degree in CS, but Im in my mid 30s and just got it for the lols, as j work in a difference field and the expectative of switching industries is not feasible in my country.
But i have a in-law getting her CS degree, and I don’t see their chances of employment any morr positive than last the last year
I think that currently, a lot of places are replacing junior devs with AI. As senior devs retire or quit because of AI, there won’t be skilled juniors to take those positions. It’s my belief that there will be a vacuum left that needs to be filled by people that can code, not just use AI to vibe code.
I could definitely be wrong, but it’s kind of cyclical like the dotcom bubble too. There was a surplus of devs, then a shortage. I think we’re approaching the latter. If/when the bubble pops, we’ll find out.
It’s expensive to get a degree, but I also think having at least basic coding understanding both fundamentally changes the way a person thinks for the better and to be good, you have to have a good breadth of knowledge on computers and a wide array of different processes across different fields, so you become a more well rounded person.
Anecdotally, I pivoted from sys admin for a decade to full stack in my mid thirties. I was fortunate to have a connection that got me in the door, and it’s been a lot of work starting over, but I’ve done it. You mentioned in your country that it’s not feasible, but maybe if you can find an in somewhere or if the landscape changes significantly enough that unavailable positions open up, you might be able to catch a break.