Morningstar analysts believe SpaceX is “significantly overvalued” ahead of its blockbuster IPO.
The analysts say xAI poses a “material threat of value destruction” to the company, with its “economic moat indeterminate.”
Morningstar values SpaceX at $780 billion, which is roughly 48% below its private market valuation of $1.5 trillion.
Indices that don’t include spacex can still be affected. As the major indices have to make liquidity available to purchase SPCX, that will suppress the value of everything else in their baskets to some extent. So the indices not including SPCX may be immune to direct SPCX volatility, but they won’t be immune to all the effects of rapid inclusion.