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Cake day: July 1st, 2023

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  • bro. no… 1- I did it per trip not per person. 2- the data counted it per passenger miles: so busses and airplanes passenger miles were = number of passengers x number of miles travelled.

    Open it yourself and check.

    And you dont have to believe anything or anyone. There’ve been close to 4 trillions rides in cars in that caused these numbers of deaths between 2000-2009 compared to something like 4 billion airplane rides in the same period. Another factor that skewed this data is like I said number of passengers: in cars the average is 1-2 people -vs- in airplanes the average is probably 100 people. You cannot ignore those two factors I mentioned which gave you this junk statistics. That’s why the per trip calculations favor cars heavily no matter what numbers you assume and plug in. People fucking clap when their plane lands… no one claps when a taxi gets them their destination alive… lol. you dont see cap drivers giving you emergency landing proceedures before every ride for this reason I calculated.

    Again for the 10th time Im repeating this is per TRIP, not person, not miles, not passenger miles, not even hours… You do the math yourself after you understand what you’re trying to calculate.




  • No I disagree. Per trip is really useful considering %chance of survival per accident in airplane vs cars, and also % of accidents per trip between planes & cars.

    I just want to know, how likely am I going to die when I ride this thing to my destination today. I’ve ridden cars more than 50,000 times in my life and experienced about 30 accidents and I’m still alive, but it was barely 6 times where I took a plane but thankfully 0 accidents otherwise 99.99% I wouldn’t be here.
    Almost 50% of my family and friends btw have never took a plane in their lives, while the other 50% hardly travel with airplanes once every 6 years JUST to give you a hint how statistics are relative, skewed and meaningless from one person to another.


  • How would measure per trip?

    here are estimates of death per trip driven from this meaningless stupid statistic in this post:

    plane: 0.07×6,000×360÷10^9 ×100%= 0.0151% chance of dying per trip

    car: 7.28×1x50÷10 ^ 9x100% = (3.64* 10^ -5)% chance of dying per trip

    That means you’re more likely to die on airplane trip more than 415 times compared to taking a car ride!

    Assuming average people travel 6000 miles once a year in a plane carrying 360 people. while an average car passenger rides it 800 times a year 50 miles each.

    If those numbers were exaggerated, still the number would still be something like 150 times more likely to die on airplane trip than a car ride.

    I can argue those numbers are reaslitic to 99% of people I know in my life who travel once a year to a country 3000 miles away, but use their cars to drive 3 hrs back & forth total to work daily, then an additional 2 hrs shopping or delivering things for their families with total reaslitic average of 50 miles a day or 60k miles a year. Again, statistics are only helpfull relatively to your own data. In my case I want to know how likely am I going to die when I ride this thing today, and those are my actual numbers and data, and 90% of the people I personally know as well.

    Another shocking statistic would be survival chance per accident:

    Airplanes would be 99.99% deaths per accident , while cars would again be 0.01% or roughly 1 out 1000 accidents maybe idk…

    Anyway… these statistics I just came up with were rediculious because they are as just as accurate and realistic as the one in this post.